IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Jacksonville St.
Ohio Valley
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.2	#216
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	68.7	#176
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.1	#264

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.1	#165

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	6.0%	11.0%	5.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.6	14.1	14.7

.500 or above	54.9%	78.7%	51.0%
.500 or above in Conference	66.0%	80.4%	63.7%
Conference Champion	6.6%	11.8%	5.8%
Last Place in Conference	4.1%	1.3%	4.5%

First Four	0.5%	0.4%	0.6%
First Round	5.7%	10.8%	4.9%
Second Round	0.4%	1.0%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.3%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: SMU (Away) - 14.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 3	2 - 4	2 - 9
Quad 4	13 - 5	15 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2019	89	@ SMU	L	62-73	14%
Nov 17, 2019	28	@ Virginia Commonwealth	L	60-78	4%
Nov 23, 2019	12	@ Purdue	L	59-81	2%
Nov 29, 2019	351	Chicago St.	W	81-67	90%
Dec 03, 2019	151	@ George Mason	L	67-74	27%
Dec 07, 2019	352	@ Alabama A&M	W	70-59	84%
Dec 11, 2019	297	Troy	W	73-65	75%
Dec 16, 2019	182	Evansville	W	71-69	56%
Dec 18, 2019	349	Delaware St.	W	61-46	90%
Dec 21, 2019	30	@ Tennessee	L	62-80	6%
Jan 02, 2020	264	@ Morehead St.	L	70-71	48%
Jan 04, 2020	274	@ Eastern Kentucky	W	82-81	50%
Jan 09, 2020	119	Murray St.	L	70-73	39%
Jan 11, 2020	211	Austin Peay	W	75-72	59%
Jan 16, 2020	255	@ Eastern Illinois	L	70-71	46%
Jan 18, 2020	324	@ SIU Edwardsville	W	75-71	64%
Jan 23, 2020	274	Eastern Kentucky	W	84-78	70%
Jan 25, 2020	264	Morehead St.	W	74-68	68%
Jan 30, 2020	272	Tennessee St.	W	75-69	69%
Feb 01, 2020	80	Belmont	L	72-79	29%
Feb 06, 2020	294	@ Southeast Missouri St.	W	72-71	55%
Feb 08, 2020	258	@ Tennessee Martin	L	73-74	47%
Feb 13, 2020	310	@ Tennessee Tech	W	70-67	59%
Feb 15, 2020	80	@ Belmont	L	69-82	14%
Feb 20, 2020	294	Southeast Missouri St.	W	75-68	73%
Feb 22, 2020	258	Tennessee Martin	W	76-71	67%
Feb 27, 2020	272	@ Tennessee St.	W	72-71	50%
Feb 29, 2020	310	Tennessee Tech	W	73-64	76%
Projected Record						14 - 14	10 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ohio Valley Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.5	1.4	2.1	1.6	0.9	0.1		6.6	1st
2nd											0.0	0.4	1.9	3.7	3.5	2.0	0.4	0.0			11.9	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.8	3.1	5.3	3.9	1.2	0.1					14.3	3rd
4th									0.0	0.7	3.7	5.3	2.8	0.6	0.0						13.1	4th
5th								0.0	0.6	3.4	5.1	2.1	0.3	0.0							11.5	5th
6th							0.0	0.3	2.6	4.5	2.0	0.2	0.0								9.7	6th
7th							0.2	2.1	4.4	1.8	0.2	0.0									8.7	7th
8th					0.0	0.1	1.5	3.3	2.0	0.2	0.0										7.0	8th
9th				0.0	0.1	0.9	2.8	2.1	0.2	0.0											6.2	9th
10th			0.0	0.1	0.7	1.9	1.7	0.3	0.0												4.7	10th
11th		0.0	0.1	0.8	1.5	1.1	0.2	0.0													3.8	11th
12th	0.1	0.2	0.7	0.6	0.5	0.1	0.0														2.2	12th

Total	0.1	0.2	0.8	1.5	2.9	4.2	6.5	8.0	9.9	10.6	11.8	11.2	10.4	8.7	6.0	4.2	2.0	0.9	0.1			Total

Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	99.1%	0.9		0.8	0.1
16-2	79.2%	1.6		1.2	0.4	0.0
15-3	49.4%	2.1		1.1	0.8	0.2	0.0
14-4	22.6%	1.4		0.5	0.6	0.2	0.0
13-5	6.0%	0.5		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	1.3%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%	0.0					0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	6.6%	6.6		3.7	2.2	0.6	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		66.0%	59.0%	7.1%	11.3					0.0	0.0					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0		17.2%
17-1	0.9%		46.7%	46.6%	0.1%	13.0									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0		0.5		0.2%
16-2	2.0%		32.0%	32.0%	0.0%	13.6											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	1.4		0.0%
15-3	4.2%		24.8%	24.8%		14.1													0.1	0.2	0.4	0.3	0.1	3.1
14-4	6.0%		17.4%	17.4%		14.5													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.1	5.0
13-5	8.7%		11.5%	11.5%		14.9													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.3	7.7
12-6	10.4%		7.9%	7.9%		15.4														0.0	0.0	0.4	0.4	9.6
11-7	11.2%		4.1%	4.1%		15.4															0.0	0.2	0.2	10.8
10-8	11.8%		2.3%	2.3%		15.6															0.0	0.1	0.2	11.6
9-9	10.6%		1.1%	1.1%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.1	10.5
8-10	9.9%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	9.8
7-11	8.0%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	8.0
6-12	6.5%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	6.5
5-13	4.2%																							4.2
4-14	2.9%																							2.9
3-15	1.5%																							1.5
2-16	0.8%																							0.8
1-17	0.2%																							0.2
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		6.0%	5.9%	0.0%	14.6					0.0	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3	0.7	1.5	2.0	1.5	94.0		0.0%